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2024-12-13 04:58:02

So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".So in my last post, I emphasized that A shares would fluctuate between 3150 points and 200 points, and fell below 3150 points. But I should have thought that the bottom of the market was rising and the consolidation was going up. Finally, I paid the bill for my cognition: "I'm sorry".And this passage also added the word "extraordinary countercyclical adjustment", which appeared for the first time in history! Note that this is also the first time, and supernormal means exceeding expectations!


What do you think of the so-called bull market of A shares?Secondly, the change from "prudent" to "moderately loose" in previous years is a major change in the caliber of monetary policy. Moderate easing was last proposed in 2010, and our caliber in the past 14 years has been consistent and steady. No matter how radical the interest rate cuts and RRR cuts are, no matter how loose they look from the behavior, they just don't let go. This is the first change in 14 years, with emphasis on the first time.If it is good, once it breaks through the resistance range of 3440-3490, large funds will rush to run as they did at the end of September and quickly attack 3500-3700.


When the hesitant funds and investors exclaimed that the cow was coming, the big funds were lured to 3800, and then fell back to 3500 in January next year.This is beyond my expectation. Although I maintain the view that A shares are entering a bull market, my friends who have been paying attention to me know that I am pessimistic.Finally, I wish you all well.

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